Conference program
The full schedule of BCDE 2020: keynote addresses, the policy panel, special sessions and all contributed parallel sessions across six blocks. Program time is Bolivia time (GMT 4).
Zoom links will be available on the day of the conference.
Program time: BOL. Time zone converter: www.thetimezoneconverter.com
Monday, July 27, 2020
Time (GMT 4) | Conference Overview Day 1 | ||||
09:30 – 09:45 | Opening Remarks Oscar Molina Tejerina, UPB, SEBOL, ABCE | ||||
09:45 – 10:30 | Keynote Address Jeffrey Sachs, Columbia University and SDSN | ||||
10:30 – 11:15 | Lanzamiento del Atlas Municipal de los ODS en Bolivia 2020 Lykke Andersen, SDSN Bolivia | ||||
11:15 – 11:30 | Break | ||||
11:30 – 13:00 | |||||
13:00 – 13:30 | Lunch Break | ||||
13:30 – 15:00 | |||||
15:00 – 15:15 | Break | ||||
15:15 – 16:45 | |||||
16:45 – 17:00 | Break | ||||
17:00 – 18:00 | Sesión especial CAF – banco de desarrollo de América Latina | ||||
Tuesday, July 28, 2020
Time (GMT 4) | Conference Overview Day 2 | ||||
08:45 – 09:00 | Welcome Sergio Daga, UPSA | Welcome Fabiola Saavedra, UCLouvain | |||
09:00 – 10:00 | Keynote Address Johanna Rickne, Stockholm University | Keynote Address Marcelo Olarreaga, University of Geneva | |||
10:00 – 10:15 | Break | ||||
10:15 – 11:15 | Panel de discusión: ¿Cómo optimizar las estrategias COVID 19 a largo plazo? Francisco Ferreira, London School of Economics | ||||
11:15 – 11:30 | Break | ||||
11:30 – 13:00 | |||||
13:00 – 13:30 | Lunch Break | ||||
13:30 – 14:30 | Keynote Address James Robinson, University of Chicago | ||||
14:30 – 14:45 | Break | ||||
14:45 – 16:15 | |||||
16:15 – 16:30 | Break | ||||
16:30 – 18:00 | |||||
18:00 – 18:15 | Break | ||||
18:15 – 18:45 | Closing Session Diego Escobari, University of Texas Rio Grande Valley | ||||
Parallel Sessions A
Monday, July 27, 2020 at 11:30 – 13:00
Session Topic | Presentations | |||||
A1: COVID 19 | Building Resilience During the Pandemic: Evidence from a Cash Transfer Program in Bolivia Nicolas Bottan, Cornell University | |||||
Construyendo resiliencia: Índice de vulnerabilidad del sector salud en Bolivia Alethea Candia, FLACSO | ||||||
COVID 19, Domestic Violence, and Alcohol Consumption Jose Roberto Balmori de la Miyar, Universidad Anahuac | ||||||
A2: Development I | Is Network Heterogeneity Enhancing Consumption Inequality? Ingrid Vargas Yañez, University of Geneva | |||||
The Economics of the Public Option: Evidence from Local Pharmaceutical Markets Juan Pablo Atal, University of Pennsylvania | ||||||
The Impact of Rural Public School Infrastructure on the Peruvian Schooling Gap and Youth Labor Jorge Dávalos, Universidad del Pacífico | ||||||
A3: Methods and Theory | A Matching Model with Heterogeneity in Commuting and Relocation Costs Anne Bucher, IDT BETA | |||||
A Simple Test for Prejudice in Decision Processes: The Prediction Based Outcome Test Nicolás Grau, Universidad de Chile | ||||||
Predicting Local State Capacity in Sub Saharan Africa: A Machine Learning Approach Gustav Agneman, University of Copenhagen | ||||||
A4: Pensions and Education | An Application of the Characteristics Approach to Pension Systems with Automatic Jorge Onrubia Fernández, Complutense Institute for International Studies, Complutense University of Madrid | |||||
Impacto del Programa Social Pensión 65 sobre el gasto en alimentos de los adultos mayores en el Perú: Un análisis de la ENAHO 2018 Luis Laurente Blanco, Universidad Nacional del Altiplano, Perú | ||||||
Wasted Years: Informality and Returns to Education in Bolivia Pablo Mendieta, Santa Cruz Chamber of Industry and Commerce | ||||||
A5: Markets and Institutions | Bono Malum Superate: Long Run Effects of Radical Institutional Change Federico Asta, University of Siena | |||||
Desenchufándonos del Subsidio a los Carburantes Diego Vacaflores Rivero, Texas State University | ||||||
Does Education Make You "Progre"?: Education and Attitudes Toward the Market Economy in Latin America Andrés Marroquín, Mercer University | ||||||
Parallel Sessions B
Monday, July 27, 2020 at 13:30 – 15:00
Session Topic | Presentations | |||||
B1: Elections | Elections and Inefficiency in the Allocation of Street Pavement Contracts in Mexico Daniel Prudencio, Rice University | |||||
Evo Morales and Electoral Fraud in Bolivia: A Natural Experiment Diego Escobari, University of Texas Rio Grande Valley | ||||||
Measurement of Reelection Perspectives in Bolivia Related to the Patterns of Quality of Life Lorena Heller Vilela, UPB | ||||||
B2: Poverty | Endogenous Weights and Multidimensional Poverty: A Cautionary Tale Indranil Dutta, University of Manchester | |||||
Endogenously Persistent Shocks and Poverty Traps Mateo Arbeláez, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign | ||||||
Informality and Poverty in Bolivia: The Trade Boom and Its Aftermath Rodrigo Gonzáles Zuazo, CIESS Econométrica | ||||||
B3: Public Goods | Provision Effects of Local Public Goods on Crime and Education: Evidence from Colombia Carolina Velez Ospina, Universidad del Rosario | |||||
Public Good or Public Bad? Indigenous Institutions, Nation Building, and the Demand for Road Infrastructure in Mexico Aldo Elizalde, University of Glasgow | ||||||
Vehicle Stock and Ownership Elasticity for Bolivia 2000–2035 Javier Aliaga Lordemann, ABCE and INESAD | ||||||
B4: Public Health and Poverty | Feminización de la pobreza en Bolivia, un análisis a partir de paneles sintéticos Cecilia Castro Balderrama, IISEC – Universidad Católica Boliviana | |||||
Service Delivery Point and Individual Characteristics Associated with Modern Contraceptive Adoption: A Multi Country Longitudinal Analysis Philip Anglewicz, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health | ||||||
Under Five Mortality in Bolivia: Survival Analysis and Risk Factors from 2003, 2008 and 2016 Health and Demographic Surveys Pamela Córdova, UPB | ||||||
B5: Energy | Estimaciones del PIB per cápita y de la actividad económica a nivel municipal en Bolivia en base a datos de consumo de electricidad Lykke Andersen, SDSN Bolivia | |||||
The Effect of Blackouts on Household Electrification Status: Evidence from Kenya Raul Bajo Buenestado, University of Navarra | ||||||
The Impacts of Household Electrification in Peri Urban Areas of Ecuador Raul Jimenez Mori, IDB Invest | ||||||
Parallel Sessions C
Monday, July 27, 2020 at 15:15 – 16:45
Session Topic | Presentations | |||||
C1: Spatial Economics | Commodity Shocks, Factor Intensity and Conflicts in Africa Marcelo Gantier Mita, IISEC – Universidad Católica Boliviana | |||||
Gentrifying Neighborhoods, Retail Prices and Varieties Fernando Borraz, Banco Central del Uruguay and Universidad de la República | ||||||
Regional Convergence, Spatial Scale, and Spatial Dependence: Evidence from Homicides and Personal Injuries in Colombia 2010–2018 Carlos Méndez, Nagoya University | ||||||
C2: Monetary Economics | Exchange Rate Policy in a Dollarized Economy: Implications on Growth and Employment in Bolivia Martin Cicowiez, CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de la Plata | |||||
Los determinantes del desalineamiento del tipo de cambio real en Bolivia 2006–2014 Marco Gavincha, Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana, México | ||||||
Understanding Persistent ZLB: Theory and Assessment Pablo Cuba Borda, Federal Reserve Board | ||||||
C3: Microfinance and Employment | Effects of Interest Rate Caps in Microcredit: Evidence from a Natural Experiment in Bolivia Alejandra Villegas, Universidad Iberoamericana Ciudad de México | |||||
Opportunities and Entrepreneurship: Evidence on Advanced Labor Market Experience Matthew Pecenco, UC Berkeley | ||||||
Evaluación de impacto del programa Mi Primer Empleo en el Ecuador Cristhina Llerena Pinto, ECONOMIA CIC | ||||||
C4: Rural Economics and Migration | Contribución de la Agricultura Familiar Campesina Indígena en Bolivia Carola Tito Velarde, IISEC – Universidad Católica Boliviana | |||||
Do Intergovernmental Transfers Stimulate Local Economic Development? Abigail Peralta, Louisiana State University | ||||||
Tracing the Institutional Footprint of Immigration on the Chessboard of Long Term Economic Development Marie Amanda Guimbeau, Brandeis University | ||||||
C5: Education | Can the School Entrance Age Explain Lower Academic Performance? Evidence from Peru Carmen Armas, Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú | |||||
Determinants of School Attendance Rate for Bolivia: A Spatial Econometric Approach Mauro Delboy, UPB | ||||||
International Child Sponsorship Impact on the Intended Choice of Schooling: The Case of Rural Mexico Daniel Prudencio, Rice University | ||||||
Parallel Sessions D
Tuesday, July 28, 2020 at 11:30 – 13:00
Session Topic | Presentations | |||||
D1: Public Economics | Beyond the Redistributive Efficiency of Fiscal Policy Instruments and Decentralisation Ronald Miranda, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona | |||||
Information Disclosure and the Performance of Public Investment Juan Cruz Vieyra, Inter American Development Bank | ||||||
Social Spending, Taxes and Income Redistribution in Ecuador M. Christina Llerena, Económica CIC, Ecuador | ||||||
D2: Culture and Conflict | Those Who Stayed: Selection and Cultural Change during the Age of Mass Migration Anne Sofie Knudsen, Harvard University | |||||
Long Term Economic Consequences of Factious Tensions: Evidence from Lebanon Thomas Emery, University of Western AustraliaRob Spruk, University of Ljubljana | ||||||
| Borderline Disorder: (De facto) Historical Ethnic Borders and Contemporary Conflict in Africa Emilio Depetris Chauvin, Pontificia Universidad Católica De Chile | ||||||
D3: Natural Resources | Mineral Trading and Informal Labour in the Andean Region Rolando Morales, CIESS Econométrica | |||||
Scenes from a Monopoly: Renewable Resources and Quickest Detection of Regime Shifts Neha Deopa, Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies, Geneva | ||||||
Valoración del servicio ecosistémico de control de enfermedades: deforestación y malaria Julio Aguirre Montoya, Universidad del Pacífico | ||||||
D4: International Trade | Agricultural Tariffs and Coca Crops: The Colombia US Free Trade Agreement Case Juan Felipe Ladino, Universidad del Rosario | |||||
Do Imports of Intermediate Inputs Generate Higher Productivity?: Evidence from Ecuadorian Manufacturing Segundo Camino Mogro, Complutense University of Madrid | ||||||
The Effect of Exports on Labor Informality: Evidence from Argentina Romina Safojan, Tilburg University | ||||||
D5: Development II | News from a Kidnapped Society: The Elusive Prisoner Exchange Program and FARC Kidnappings in Colombia Michael Jetter, University of Western Australia, IZA and CESifo | |||||
Socio economic and Environmental Effects of Eco tourism Santiago Saavedra, Universidad del Rosario | ||||||
The Story of a Hurricane: Local Government, NGOs, and Post Disaster Assistance Ben Fitch Fleischmann, University of Oregon | ||||||
Parallel Sessions E
Tuesday, July 28, 2020 at 14:45 – 16:15
Session Topic | Presentations | |||||
E1: Bolivian Economy | Determinantes de la rentabilidad de los Fondos de Inversión en Bolivia Alejandro Vargas, UPB | |||||
Deuda pública externa de Bolivia 1970 – 2018: Análisis histórico y econométrico de sostenibilidad Guillermo Gómez Aliaga, IISEC – Universidad Católica Boliviana | ||||||
Expectativas y desafíos de la industrialización del litio en Bolivia Roberto Del Barco Gamarra, Universidad Técnica de Oruro | ||||||
E2: Financial Economics | Análisis estructural de shock precio del petróleo en la macroeconomía de Bolivia Juan Ruiz Otondo, Datastudy Consulting | |||||
Is S&P500 a Bubble? An Empirical Approach Oscar Martinez, UPB | ||||||
Prudential Regulation of Loan loss provisions and the Allocation of Mortgage Loans: Evidence from Administrative Data in Chile Mauricio Calani, Central Bank of Chile | ||||||
E3: Terms of Trade | Terms of Trade Shocks in the Bolivian Business Cycle Mario Loayza Grisi, Independent | |||||
Terms of Trade Shocks, Time varying Volatility and Intersectoral Dynamics in a Small Open Economy Osvaldo Pericon, Queen Mary University of London | ||||||
The Changing Costs of Global Value Chains and Wage Inequality in Developing Countries Rodrigo Garcia Ayala, World Bank | ||||||
E4: Gender | The Effects of Violent Crime on Intrahousehold Resource Allocation and Marriage Markets Maria Hernandez De Benito, Georgetown University | |||||
Intergenerational Effects of Improving Women’s Property Rights: Evidence from India Nayana Bose, Scripps College | ||||||
The Effectiveness of Documentary Films to Reduce Violence Against Women Vincent Leyaro, University of Dar es Salaam | ||||||
E5: Human Capital and International Economics | Human Capital Constraints, Spatial Dependence, and Regionalization in Bolivia: A Spatial Clustering Approach Erick Gonzales, United Nations | |||||
Shocks de precios internacionales bajo incertidumbre estocástica Samuel Alarcon Gambarte, ILADES | ||||||
Volatilidad del tipo de cambio en México y Brasil: Un modelo Markov Switching GARCH Benigno Caballero Claure, Universidad Técnica de Oruro | ||||||
Parallel Sessions F
Tuesday, July 28, 2020 at 16:30 – 18:00
Session Topic | Presentations | |||||
F1: Economic History | Country of Women? Repercussions of the Triple Alliance War in Paraguay Felipe Valencia, University of British Columbia | |||||
The Grievances of a Failed Reform: Chilean Land Reform and Conflict with Indigenous Communities Dany Jaimovich, Universidad de Talca | ||||||
The Legacy of Spanish Conquista in the Andes: Understanding the Persistence of the Mining Mita Cesar Huaroto, PUC Chile | ||||||
F2: Economic Growth | Crecimiento económico, corrupción e instituciones en Bolivia Juan Barrios, UMSA | |||||
El impacto de los choques transitorios y de largo plazo en el PIB de Bolivia: Un modelo de vectores autoregresivos estructurales Ernesto Bernal, Universidad Técnica de Oruro | ||||||
Productivity Dynamics and Convergence Clubs in Latin America Carlos Méndez, Nagoya University | ||||||
| Assessing ‘Not in my Backyard’ Environmental Policies: Is Carbon Leakage Worse than we Thought? Johann Caro Burnett, Hiroshima University | |||||
Marriage Market Responses in the Event of a Natural Disaster in India Shreyasee Das, Temple University | ||||||
Weather Shocks’ Impacts on Farm Level Agricultural Outcomes in Bolivia Sergio Daga, UPSA and University of Navarra | ||||||
F4: Labor Markets | Active Labor Market Policies in a Context of High Informality: The Effect of PAE in Bolivia Horacio Valencia, CAF | |||||
Childcare Provision and Labor Outcomes for Women in Poverty Jose Balmori de la Miyar, Universidad Anahuac Mexico | ||||||
Recentered Influence Functions (RIFs) in Stata: RIF Regression and RIF Decomposition Fernando Rios Avila, Levy Economics Institute of Bard College | ||||||
F5: Development in Bolivia | Crecimiento económico, desigualdad y pobreza: evaluación empírica para el caso boliviano Claudia C. Montaño, UMSS and Consultora Energía Inteligente | |||||
Determinants of Total Productivity of Factors in South America Andrés Gutierrez Villca, Universidad Mayor de San Andrés | ||||||
Fluctuaciones climatológicas e inflación de alimentos en Bolivia Darwin Ugarte, UPB | ||||||