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11th edition · Online · July 27 and 28, 2020 ProgramContributed sessionsRegistration
BCDE 2020 Bolivian Conference on Development Economics
Contributed sessions

Contributed parallel sessions

Thirty contributed sessions ran across six blocks. Each session listed three papers. Select a session to read its full abstract on the dedicated page.

Abstract pages: A1 to A5 · B1 to B5 · C1 to C5 · D1 to D5 · E1 to E5 · F1 to F5

Parallel Sessions A · read the abstract

Session A1

COVID 19

  • Building resilience during the pandemic: Evidence from a cash transfer program in BoliviaNicolas Bottan, Cornell University; Bridget Hoffmann, Inter American Development Bank; Diego A. Vera Cossio, Inter American Development Bank
  • Construyendo Resiliencia: Índice de vulnerabilidad del sector salud en BoliviaAlethea Candia, FLACSO; Iván Égido, Inter Alia; Marcelo Olivera Villarroel, UAM, México
  • COVID 19, Domestic Violence, and Alcohol ConsumptionJose Roberto Balmori de la Miyar, Universidad Anahuac; Adan Silverio Murillo, School of Government, Tecnológico de Monterrey
Session A2

Development I

  • Is network heterogeneity enhancing consumption inequality?Ingrid Vargas Yañez, University of Geneva
  • The economics of the public option: Evidence from local pharmaceutical marketsJuan Pablo Atal, University of Pennsylvania; José Ignacio Cuesta, University of Chicago; Felipe Gonzalez, PUC Chile; Cristóbal Otero, UC Berkeley
  • The impact of rural public school infrastructure on the Peruvian schooling gap and youth laborJorge Dávalos, Universidad del Pacífico; Brian Daza, Universidad del Pacífico
Session A3

Methods and Theory

  • A matching model with heterogeneity in commuting and relocation costsAnne Bucher, IDT BETA; Paola Montero, UPB
  • A Simple Test for Prejudice in Decision Processes: The Prediction Based Outcome TestNicolás Grau, Universidad de Chile; Damián Vergara, UC Berkeley
  • Predicting Local State Capacity in Sub Saharan Africa: A Machine Learning ApproachGustav Agneman, University of Copenhagen; Kasper Brandt, University of Copenhagen; Christoffer Cappelen, University of Copenhagen; David Sjöberg, University of Copenhagen
Session A4

Pensions and Education

  • An Application of the Characteristics Approach to Pension Systems with Automatic Adjustment MechanismsJorge Onrubia Fernández, Complutense Institute for International Studies, Complutense University of Madrid; Diego Wachs, Complutense University of Madrid
  • Impacto del Programa Social Pensión 65 sobre el gasto en alimentos de los adultos mayores en el Perú: Un análisis de la ENAHO 2018Luis Laurente Blanco, Universidad Nacional del Altiplano, Perú
  • Wasted years: Informality and returns to education in BoliviaPablo Mendieta, Santa Cruz Chamber of Industry and Commerce
Session A5

Markets and Institutions

  • Bono Malum Superate: Long Run Effects of Radical Institutional ChangeFederico Asta, University of Siena; Lela Melon, Universitat Pompeu Fabra; Rok Spruk, University of Ljubljana
  • Desenchufándonos del Subsidio a los CarburantesDiego Vacaflores Rivero, Texas State University
  • Does Education Make You “Progre”?: Education and Attitudes Toward the Market Economy in Latin AmericaAndrés Marroquín, Mercer University; Antonio Saravia, Mercer University

Parallel Sessions B · read the abstract

Session B1

Elections

  • Elections and Inefficiency in the Allocation of Street Pavement Contracts in MexicoDaniel Prudencio, Rice University
  • Evo Morales and Electoral Fraud in Bolivia: A Natural ExperimentDiego Escobari, University of Texas Rio Grande Valley; Gary Hoover, University of Oklahoma
  • Measurement of Reelection Perspectives in Bolivia Related to the Patterns of Quality of LifeLorena Heller Vilela, UPB
Session B2

Poverty

  • Endogenous Weights and Multidimensional Poverty: A Cautionary TaleIndranil Dutta, University of Manchester; Ricardo Nogales, University of Oxford; Gastón Yalonetzky, University of Leeds
  • Endogenously persistent shocks and poverty trapsMateo Arbeláez, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign; Leopoldo Fergusson, Universidad de los Andes; Andrés Zambrano, Universidad de los Andes
  • Endogenously persistent shocks and poverty trapsRodrigo Gonzáles Zuazo, CIESS Econométrica
Session B3

Public Goods

  • Provision Effects of Local Public Goods on Crime and Education: Evidence from ColombiaCarolina Vélez Ospina, Universidad del Rosario
  • Public good or public bad? Indigenous institutions, nation building, and the demand for road infrastructure in MexicoAldo Elizalde, University of Glasgow; Eduardo Hidalgo, Center for Macroeconomic Research, University of Cologne; Nayeli Salgado, Vienna University of Economics and Business (WU)
  • Vehicle Stock and Ownership Elasticity for Bolivia 2000–2035Javier Aliaga Lordemann, ABCE and INESAD; Alejandra Terán Orsini, INESAD
Session B4

Public Health and Poverty

  • Feminización de la pobreza en Bolivia, un análisis a partir de paneles sintéticosCecilia Castro Balderrama, IISEC – Universidad Católica Boliviana; Guillermo Gómez Aliaga, IISEC – Universidad Católica Boliviana
  • Service Delivery Point and Individual Characteristics Associated with Modern Contraceptive Adoption: A Multi Country Longitudinal AnalysisPhilip Anglewicz, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; Carolina Cardona, Johns Hopkins University; Titilope Akinlose, Research Triangle Institute International; Amy Tsui, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
  • Under five mortality in Bolivia: Survival analysis and risk factors from 2003, 2008 and 2016 Health and Demographic SurveysPamela Córdova, UPB; Soraya Román, UPB; Zarela Soria Galvarro, UPB
Session B5

Energy

  • Estimaciones del PIB per cápita y de la actividad económica a nivel municipal en Bolivia en base a datos de consumo de electricidadLykke Andersen, SDSN Bolivia; Boris Branisa C., ePC – Universidad Católica Boliviana; Fabián Calderón C., UPB
  • The Effect of Blackouts on Household Electrification Status: Evidence from KenyaRaul Bajo Buenestado, University of Navarra
  • The impacts of household electrification in peri urban areas of EcuadorRaul Jimenez Mori, IDB Invest

Parallel Sessions C · read the abstract

Session C1

Spatial Economics

  • Commodity Shocks, Factor Intensity and Conflicts in AfricaMarcelo Gantier Mita, IISEC – Universidad Católica Boliviana
  • Gentrifying Neighborhoods, Retail Prices and VarietiesFernando Borraz, Banco Central del Uruguay and Universidad de la República; Felipe Carozzi, LSE; Nicolás González Pampillón, LSE and Institut d’Economia de Barcelona; Leandro Zipitría, Universidad de la República
  • Regional Convergence, Spatial Scale, and Spatial Dependence: Evidence from Homicides and Personal Injuries in Colombia 2010–2018Carlos Méndez, Nagoya University; Felipe Santos Marquez, Nagoya University
Session C2

Monetary Economics

  • Exchange rate policy in a dollarized economy: Implications on growth and employment in BoliviaMartin Cicowiez, CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de la Plata; Alejandra Goytia, INESAD; Alejandro Herrera, IDB; Carlos Gustavo Machicado, INESAD; Beatriz Muriel, INESAD
  • Los determinantes del desalineamiento del tipo de cambio real en Bolivia 2006–2014Marco Gavincha, Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana, México
  • Understanding Persistent ZLB: Theory and AssessmentPablo Cuba Borda, Federal Reserve Board; Sanjay R. Singh, UC Davis
Session C3

Microfinance and Employment

  • Effects of interest rate caps in microcredit: Evidence from a natural experiment in BoliviaAlejandra Villegas, Universidad Iberoamericana Ciudad de México; Ignacio Garrón, Bolivian Central Bank ; María José Roa, Instituto de Investigaciones Económicas y Sociales Francisco de Vitoria
  • Opportunities and Entrepreneurship: Evidence on Advanced Labor Market ExperienceMatthew Pecenco, UC Berkeley; Carlos Schmidt Padilla, UC Berkeley; Hamilton Taveras, Ministry of Finance, Dominican Republic
  • Evaluación de Impacto del Programa Mi Primer Empleo en el EcuadorCristhina Llerena Pinto, ECONOMIA CIC; Andrea Llerena, ECONOMIA CIC; Paul Llerena, ECONOMIA CIC
Session C4

Rural Economics and Migration

  • Contribución de la Agricultura Familiar Campesina Indígena en BoliviaCarola Tito Velarde, IISEC – Universidad Católica Boliviana; Fernanda Wanderley, IISEC – Universidad Católica Boliviana
  • Do Intergovernmental Transfers Stimulate Local Economic Development?Abigail Peralta, Louisiana State University
  • Tracing the Institutional Footprint of Immigration on the Chessboard of Long Term Economic DevelopmentMarie Amanda Guimbeau, Brandeis University
Session C5

Education

  • Can the school entrance age explain lower academic performance? Evidence from PeruCarmen Armas, Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú; Antonio Campos, Universidad de San Andrés; Jesús Gutiérrez, Universidad del Pacífico
  • Determinants of School Attendance rate for Bolivia: A spatial econometric approachMauro Delboy, UPB
  • International Child Sponsorship Impact on the Intended Choice of Schooling: The Case of Rural MexicoDaniel Prudencio, Rice University

Parallel Sessions D · read the abstract

Session D1

Public Economics

  • Beyond the Redistributive Efficiency of Fiscal Policy Instruments and DecentralisationRonald Miranda, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona and Universidad de la República; Leonel Muinelo Gallob, Universidad de la República, Uruguay; Oriol Roca Sagalésc, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona
  • Information Disclosure and the Performance of Public InvestmentJuan Cruz Vieyra, Inter American Development Bank; Martín A. Rossi, Universidad de San Andrés; Antonia Vazquez, Universidad de San Andrés
  • Social spending, taxes and income redistribution in EcuadorM. Christina Llerena, Economica CIC, Ecuador; Freddy Paúl Llerena, AEEP and Economica CIC, Ecuador; M. Andrea Llerena, Economica CIC, Ecuador; Roberto Saá, Economica CIC, Ecuador
Session D2

Culture and Conflict

  • Those Who Stayed: Selection and Cultural Change during the Age of Mass MigrationAnne Sofie Knudsen, Harvard University
  • Long Term Economic Consequences of Factious Tensions: Evidence from LebanonThomas Emery, University of Western Australia; Rok Spruk, University of Ljubljana
  • Borderline Disorder: (De facto) Historical Ethnic Borders and Contemporary Conflict in AfricaEmilio Depetris Chauvin, Pontificia Universidad Católica De Chile; Ömer Özak, Southern Methodist University and IZA
Session D3

Natural Resources

  • Mineral trading and informal labour in the Andean regionRolando Morales, CIESS Econometrica
  • Scenes from a Monopoly: Renewable Resources and Quickest Detection of Regime ShiftsNeha Deopa, Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies, Geneva; Daniele Rinaldo, Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies, Geneva
  • Valoración del servicio ecosistémico de control de enfermedades: deforestación y malariaJulio Aguirre Montoya, Universidad del Pacífico; Pedro Rojas, Universidad del Pacífico
Session D4

International Trade

  • Agricultural Tariffs and Coca Crops: The Colombia US Free Trade Agreement CaseJuan Felipe Ladino, Universidad del Rosario
  • Do Imports of Intermediate Inputs Generate Higher Productivity?: Evidence from Ecuadorian ManufacturingSegundo Camino Mogro, Complutense University of Madrid; Kathia Pinzón, Escuela Politécnica Nacional; Paul Carrillo, Inter American Development Bank
  • The Effect of Exports on Labor Informality: Evidence from ArgentinaRomina Safojan, Tilburg University
Session D5

Development II

  • News from a kidnapped society: The elusive prisoner exchange program and FARC kidnappings in ColombiaMichael Jetter, University of Western Australia, IZA and CESifo; Juan Posada Aparicio, University of Western Australia
  • Socio economic and environmental effects of eco tourismSantiago Saavedra, Universidad del Rosario
  • The Story of a Hurricane: Local Government, NGOs, and Post Disaster AssistanceBen Fitch Fleischmann, University of Oregon; Evan Plous Kresch, Oberlin College

Parallel Sessions E · read the abstract

Session E1

Bolivian Economy

  • Determinantes de la rentabilidad de los Fondos de Inversión en BoliviaAlejandro Vargas, UPB
  • Deuda pública externa de Bolivia 1970–2018: Análisis histórico y econométrico de sostenibilidadGuillermo Gómez Aliaga, IISEC – Universidad Católica Boliviana; Germán Molina, Universidad Católica Boliviana
  • Expectativas y desafíos de la industrialización del litio en BoliviaRoberto Del Barco Gamarra, Universidad Técnica de Oruro; Guillermo Foladori, Universidad Autónoma de Zacatecas
Session E2

Financial Economics

  • Análisis estructural de shock precio del petróleo en la macroeconomía de BoliviaJuan Ruiz Otondo, Datastudy Consulting
  • Is S&P500 a bubble? An empirical approachOscar Martinez, Universidad Privada Boliviana
  • Prudential regulation of loan loss provisions and the allocation of mortgage loans: Evidence from administrative data in ChileMauricio Calani, Central Bank of Chile; Manuel Paillacar, Central Bank of Chile
Session E3

Terms of Trade

  • Terms of trade shocks in the Bolivian business cycleMario Loayza Grisi, Independent
  • Terms of trade shocks, time varying volatility and intersectoral dynamics in a small open economyOsvaldo Pericón, Queen Mary University of London
  • The Changing Costs of Global Value Chains and Wage Inequality in Developing CountriesRodrigo Garcia Ayala, World Bank
Session E4

Gender

  • The Effects of Violent Crime on Intrahousehold Resource Allocation and Marriage MarketsMaria Hernandez De Benito, Georgetown University
  • Intergenerational Effects of Improving Women’s Property Rights: Evidence from IndiaNayana Bose, Scripps College; Shreyasee Das, Temple University
  • The effectiveness of documentary films to reduce violence against womenVincent Leyaro, University of Dar es Salaam; Pablo Selaya, University of Copenhagen; Neda Trifkovic, University of Copenhagen
Session E5

Human Capital and International Economics

  • Human Capital Constraints, Spatial Dependence, and Regionalization in Bolivia: A Spatial Clustering ApproachErick Gonzales, United Nations; Carlos Méndez, Nagoya University
  • Shocks de Precios Internacionales bajo Incertidumbre EstocásticaSamuel Alarcon Gambarte, ILADES
  • Volatilidad del tipo de cambio en México y Brasil: Un modelo Markov Switching GARCHBenigno Caballero Claure, Universidad Técnica de Oruro; Rolando Caballero Martinez, Escuela Militar de Ingeniería, La Paz

Parallel Sessions F · read the abstract

Session F1

Economic History

  • Country of Women? Repercussions of the Triple Alliance War in ParaguayFelipe Valencia, University of British Columbia; Jennifer Alix García, Oregon State University; Laura Schechter, UW Madison; Jessica Zhu, Precision Agriculture for Development
  • The grievances of a failed reform: Chilean land reform and conflict with indigenous communitiesDany Jaimovich, Universidad de Talca
  • The Legacy of Spanish Conquista in the Andes Understanding the persistence of the Mining MitaCesar Huaroto, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile
Session F2

Economic Growth

  • Crecimiento económico, corrupción e instituciones en BoliviaJuan Barrios, UMSA
  • El impacto de los choques transitorios y de largo plazo en el PIB de Bolivia: Un modelo de Vectores Autoregresivos EstructuralesErnesto Bernal, Universidad Técnica de Oruro
  • Productivity Dynamics and Convergence Clubs in Latin AmericaCarlos Méndez, Nagoya University
Session F3

Environmental Economics

  • Assessing ‘not in my backyard’ environmental policies: Is carbon leakage worse than we thought?Johann Caro Burnett, Hiroshima University; Luis E. Gonzales Carrasco, CLAPES UC, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile
  • Marriage Market Responses in the Event of a Natural Disaster in IndiaShreyasee Das, Temple University; Shatanjaya Dasgupta, Beloit College
  • Weather Shocks’ Impacts on Farm Level Agricultural Outcomes in BoliviaSergio Daga, UPSA and University of Navarra
Session F4

Labor Markets

  • Active Labor Market Policies in a Context of High Informality: The Effect of PAE in BoliviaHoracio Valencia, CAF; Rafael Novella, IDB and University of Oxford
  • Childcare Provision and Labor Outcomes for Women in PovertyJose Balmori de la Miyar, Universidad Anahuac México; Carlos Rodriguez Castelán, World Bank; Adán Silverio Murillo, Tecnológico de Monterrey
  • Recentred influence functions (RIFs) in Stata: RIF regression and RIF decompositionFernando Rios Avila, Levy Economics Institute of Bard College
Session F5

Development in Bolivia

  • Crecimiento Económico, Desigualdad y Pobreza: Evaluación Empírica para el Caso BolivianoClaudia C. Montaño, Universidad Mayor de San Simón and Consultora Energía Inteligente; Marcel Navia, Universidad Mayor de San Simón and Consultora Energía Inteligente
  • Determinants of total productivity of factors in South AmericaAndrés Gutierrez Villca, Universidad Mayor de San Andrés
  • Fluctuaciones climatológicas e inflación de alimentos en BoliviaDarwin Ugarte, UPB